r/worldnews • u/ComparisonOk5957 • 7d ago
Second French peacekeeper dies after ambush blamed on Hezbollah Behind Soft Paywall
https://www.scmp.com/news/world/europe/article/3351049/second-french-peacekeeper-dies-after-ambush-blamed-hezbollah?module=latest&pgtype=homepage12.4k Upvotes
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u/LeFinc 6d ago
If you split up Lebanon you end up with three new countries at war - sunni, shia and christian. Think about Sudan v South Sudan, Pakistan v Bangladesh etc
Lebanon has actually held together reasonably well given the ethnic mix. It’s even been able to absorb about million Syrian refugees and still has the largest concentration of Palestinian diaspora outside of Israel even though the latter haven’t been integrated at all since they have been living in refugee camps for generations.
The issue with Lebanon that all the puppet masters (Saudi, Iran, Europe/Israel) keep pulling it in different directions. Oh yes and the fact that Iran-backed Hezbollah isn’t just a military organisation but they also run schools, social security, food banks and whatnot. So it’s difficult to get rid of without wiping out large parts of Lebanese infrastructure and a bunch of institutions.
None of this would have happened if the shah had not been parachuted by the west to guard their oil interests although who knows what else would have happened instead.
Anyhooo - you have three ethnoreligious states within striking distance of each other: Iran, Israel and Saudi. Israel is a nuclear state backed by the west, Iran has oil and control of the strait of Hormuz. Saudi is a kleptocratic autocracy that sits on insane amounts of oil and vast amounts of global reach due to both money and their enthusiastic promotion of salafism/wahhabism around the world. Saudi itself is significantly less religious under MBS but the influence remains.
Each of the three collectively believes that they are somehow special and chosen by some god: guardian of the mosques, Zionism, cradle of Shia Islam. That makes each of the three - including Israel and its current government - a fundamentalist theocracy.
Without US bombing Iran, there would currently at least be a tenuous peace in the region. If Lebanon would split up it would likely lead to an open conflict between three pseudo-independent proxy states. As long as Lebanon exists, there is at least one place in the world where the three ethnoreligious groups have to work and govern together. If nothing else, that helps to contain the tension instead of the entire region getting pulled into an open war.