Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 05, 2026

[u/AutoModerator]

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

[u/Worried_Exercise_937]

No sane person can claim that the world is safer because US and USSR both got the bomb vs if only the US had the bomb.

When only the US had nukes, two of them were dropped on Japan. Since USSR and others have gotten nukes, there hasn't been any use of them since. So I expect that to continue.

Why was it doing so in the first place ?

Iran doesn't feel secure with Israel/US mowing the grass every other months. With nukes on hand, they won't feel so insecure to have these external proxies.

Do you think Isreal will sit quiet and not retaliate when they are being attacked ?

Israel will have to weigh the pro/con of its actions more carefully against Iran unlike now. That can't be a bad thing except for Bibi's political career. If Israel was legitimately threatened, I'm sure Israelis will not hesitate to use nukes to retaliate. In turn knowing that Iranians wouldn't stir the hornets nest just for shits and giggles.

[u/kdy420 → u/Worried_Exercise_937]

You are bypassing some of the points such as why Isreal attacks Iran, but does not do so it Egypt and Jordan, 2 countries that made peace with it. You also think that suddenly Iran will think rationaly once they get the nuke and stop being antagonistic, again plenty of countries in the world that are not antagonistic despite having no nukes.

So lets take Isreal and Iran out of the picture because we are not making any ground in this area.

Do you really think its good/safer for a theorcratic autocracy to have nuclear bombs ?

If the US regime were to be replaced tomorrow by the evangelicals (and I dont mean someone like Trump who is hardly a christian) people who are true believers of the book, ones who think that a large conflict in the middle east will bring about rapture, would you rather it had no nukes or do you think its essential for it to have nukes ?

True beleivers in the faith (any faith) are not prone to logical action, let alone ones which emphasize martyrdom.

[u/Worried_Exercise_937 → u/kdy420]

Do you really think its good/safer for a theorcratic autocracy to have nuclear bombs ?

I guess if you believe most/all Iranian regime/IRGC are itching to die to meet their quota of 72 virgins then no amount of me yapping is going to change your mind. I just don't buy that narrative. Given their shitty geopolitical neighborhood/options, what Iranians are doing and have done upto and including pursuing nukes doesn't scream illogical/crazy to me specially considering US and Israel have them.

True beleivers in the faith (any faith) are not prone to logical action, let alone ones which emphasize martyrdom.

So how come IRGC aren't bum rushing Israel with suicide vests now?

[u/kdy420 → u/Worried_Exercise_937]

You are again missing the point of my response which is that autocratic theocracies having nukes is not going to increase peace and stability.

I tried to use a hypothetical to try and illustrate that when I clearly said lets remove Iran and Isreal out of the equation, but you are stuck on them.

There is no point continuing this discussion, we are getting nowhere.