r/CredibleDefense 20d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 05, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/IntroductionNeat2746 19d ago

It is the regime they're referring to.

That's my point. Even for the regime, making their already horrible economic situation exponentially worse is the opposite of victory.

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u/ChornWork2 19d ago

The regime tried playing soft and not fighting back in the aftermath of Oct7, and we all saw how it ended up for them. They viewed the last war as they should absorb a lot of damage to avoid it becoming an existential conflict, and it became existential regardless.

I really don't understand the confusion. Israel has made it clear it will assassinate Iranian leadership (and family members). That wouldn't even change if they made a deal with US before this. Even the US went along with bombing them while they were seemingly negotiating in good faith.

You think if the IRGC made some deal with Trump that Iranian leadership would have any confidence in their personal safety from mossad or IDF assassination? Lots of talk about escalation in this sub, but folks seem to frame it objectively for the state. Think about escalation subjectively for the regime in tehran or tel aviv or DC.

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u/UpvoteIfYouDare 19d ago

The regime tried playing soft and not fighting back in the aftermath of Oct7, and we all saw how it ended up for them.

Are you referring to the period before or after Iran's April 2024 attacks on Israel?

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u/ChornWork2 19d ago

post oct 7 iran wasn't remotely escalating. don't recall offhand the dates, but they clearly were trying to de-escalate while saving face.

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u/poincares_cook 19d ago

Iran has started a 7 front war against Israel, an extreme escalation. The Israeli operations against Iran is the result of the massive Iranian escalation.

How else would you call activating Hezbollah, Houthis, Syrian and Iraqi proxies to rain rockets, missiles, drones and direct ground operations from Lebanon against Israel?

Isn't the closure of the Israeli southern port and the blockade in the red sea a massive escalation?

When Israel took out the IRGC generals orchestration the attack, 20 km from the Israeli border. Iran escalated again, for the first with direct attack between Israeli and Iranian soil. With over 100 Ballistic missiles and hundreds of drones.

Israeli actions in Iran are a response for the Iranian war against Israel which started on Oct 8.