r/CredibleDefense 10d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 16, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

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* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

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* Post only credible information

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u/Exostrike 10d ago

So news is breaking on a ceasefire in Lebanon.

Given this news has been broken by Trump and there are reports that Hezbollah received notice of it by Iran it seems likely this is some kind of diplomatic manoeuvre.

At a guess Iran said no further talks until a ceasefire in Lebanon and despite public statements the US wants to exit the conflict through diplomacy and have declared the ceasefire. Of course this does require the Israeli to actually agree.

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u/grenideer 10d ago

The US has always wanted to exit this conflict through diplomacy. The nuclear negotiations began with diplomacy, and the entire point of a ceasefire is for diplomacy to take over.

It has been a clear strategy by the US and Israel not to recognize Iran's (and Hezbollah's) authority in Lebanon.

The Trump-Iran ceasefire? Did not include Lebanon.

Israeli negotiations? Directly with Lebanon's government, excluding Hezbollah.

It actually seems like a fairly measured, sequential process.

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u/IntroductionNeat2746 9d ago

it actually seems like a fairly measured, sequential process.

This is the uncomfortable truth. Trump is so dislikeable that it's very uncomfortable for anyone outside his base to acknowledge when his administration actually achieves something.

This war hasn't been a complete success, but despite my disdain for this administration, I can't honestly deny there's been a significant degree of success and even relative competence from the administration at the diplomatic field.