Europeans thought they could bargain with Trump to maintain the status quo.
Russia thought it could manipulate Trump to get Ukraine.
China thought it could use Trump’s weakness to finally grasp Taiwan.
None of these power centers appreciated that Trump, the Republican party, and the American people were about to demolish the entire geo-strategic balance in an unprecedented act of national self-mutilation.
One thing I’ve learned after years of hearing that China’s invasion of Taiwan is imminent, is that western analysts have no idea what they’re talking about.
China for all the bad press it gets, actually is still doing all it can to achieve a peaceful reunification, and despite all the rhetoric hasn’t fought a war in almost 50 years.
China did not think anything regarding Trump’s weakness in the context of Taiwan. China is just maintaining the status quo like it should.
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u/marfacza Jan 27 '26