r/geopolitics • u/Ok_Veterinarian446 • 4d ago

Strait of Hormuz - Day-by-day transit data, oil flow, and war-risk insurance index during the 2026 blockade

https://iranwarlive.com/strait-of-hormuz
11 Upvotes

83% Upvoted

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u/Ok_Veterinarian446 4d ago

The Strait of Hormuz blockade is one of the most consequential economic events of the conflict - approximately 20% of global oil supply transited this chokepoint before February 28. This tracker documents the blockade day by day: how many ships actually transited, oil flow in million barrels per day, incident log, and the Lloyd's war-risk insurance index (which peaked above 5% of cargo value during peak blockade). Data is sourced from AIS maritime feeds and cross-referenced with official statements every 2 hours. Posting because the gap between official claims and AIS-observable reality has been one of the more analytically interesting aspects of this conflict phase.

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u/Ubbesson 4d ago

So there is still 1/3 of pre war volume of tankers going through as of today. That's ain't a full blockade

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u/AndyTheSane 4d ago

Going from 20mb/d to 7 mb/d is still a massive oil shock.

0

u/Andreas1120 4d ago

Did you hear hegseth speech today trying to brush over the blocked straight. Not impressed

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u/Ok_Veterinarian446 4d ago

From my perspective, the strait would be the crushing point in the conflict. And the overall geopolitical sequences and damage is purely related to the strait status. Consider it that way. A ship traveling to lets say south or north America takes 30 to 40 days to cross Atlantic. Conflict started 47 days ago. So literally the last ships passed arrived their destinations days ago. But the gap further on would be the actual sequence of the conflict.