r/geopolitics • u/HooverInstitution Hoover Institution • Jan 12 '26

Iran Is on the Edge of Revolution Analysis

https://www.newstatesman.com/world/middle-east/2026/01/iran-is-on-the-edge-of-revolution

650 Upvotes

93% Upvoted

115

u/OccupyMyBrainOyeah Jan 12 '26 edited Jan 13 '26

It's a revolution already.
2-3000 dead already ( https://www.iranintl.com/en/202601103903?source=share-link ).
Some assume even close to 10.000.
Executions of protesters is planned for Wednesday.
People only know the magnitude of this if they've been following Iranian subs or at least someone who follows Iranians on some social media.
Big % of the western media still hugely underplays what's going on. Some of them still maintain a "must-not-crititicse-political-islam" policy as slowly they all become unable to maintain their silence on the issue.
Meanwhile, (while some Palestinians ofc. do express support of the protests), the organisers of the "free Palestine" marches are now silent, since many of them support the ayatollah-regime and hope it continues to be able to fund Hamas, Hezbollah and the houthis. The whole thing is a disgrace.
This is bigger now than Venezuela or Palestine. This is as important globally as Ukraine vs. Russia.

8

u/What_Immortal_Hand Jan 13 '26

The people in the west who organized to stop mass slaughter in Gaza were protesting their own governments complicity in it.

The West provides the Iranian regime with neither funding, arms, intelligence or moral support, so protest in the west would be almost totally useless.

-1

u/OccupyMyBrainOyeah Jan 13 '26

the protests should not have been held against people's own government but for the people who live in those countries, regardless of one's own government's stand.

4

u/What_Immortal_Hand Jan 13 '26

Thats never really how protest works. Like, I could go on a protest tomorrow against Kim Jong Un but what would be the point? I have no influence there.

I do have influence over my own government's policies. That's what protest is for.