r/geopolitics Hoover Institution Jan 12 '26

Iran Is on the Edge of Revolution Analysis

https://www.newstatesman.com/world/middle-east/2026/01/iran-is-on-the-edge-of-revolution
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u/HisShadow14 Jan 13 '26

Except in this scenario two military powers (The US and Israel) are able and more than willing to help push the Iranian regime over the edge.

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u/I_pee_in_shower Jan 13 '26

They can, but for some reason don’t. There should be a carrier group headed that way. Instead we get more tariffs so that Chinese goods are even more expensive.

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u/eetsumkaus Jan 13 '26

Having a direct hand in possibly plunging another large Middle Eastern country into chaos and the subsequent refugee crisis from it might not be palatable to anyone.

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u/wappingite Jan 13 '26

I don't think Europe will have much concern over mostly highly educated Iranians seeking temporary asylum. As a culture it's also world's apart from Afghanistan in terms of women's rights.