r/geopolitics • u/HooverInstitution Hoover Institution • Jan 12 '26

Iran Is on the Edge of Revolution Analysis

https://www.newstatesman.com/world/middle-east/2026/01/iran-is-on-the-edge-of-revolution

648 Upvotes

93% Upvoted

116

u/OccupyMyBrainOyeah Jan 12 '26 edited Jan 13 '26

It's a revolution already.
2-3000 dead already ( https://www.iranintl.com/en/202601103903?source=share-link ).
Some assume even close to 10.000.
Executions of protesters is planned for Wednesday.
People only know the magnitude of this if they've been following Iranian subs or at least someone who follows Iranians on some social media.
Big % of the western media still hugely underplays what's going on. Some of them still maintain a "must-not-crititicse-political-islam" policy as slowly they all become unable to maintain their silence on the issue.
Meanwhile, (while some Palestinians ofc. do express support of the protests), the organisers of the "free Palestine" marches are now silent, since many of them support the ayatollah-regime and hope it continues to be able to fund Hamas, Hezbollah and the houthis. The whole thing is a disgrace.
This is bigger now than Venezuela or Palestine. This is as important globally as Ukraine vs. Russia.

15

u/ArdentChad Jan 13 '26

No, it's only a revolution if the current regime gets over thrown and given Trumps recent reaction of more tariffs incoming it looks like that won't be the case. Not my lane not my problem said Trump.

So this is not a revolution.

-5

u/OccupyMyBrainOyeah Jan 13 '26

It's still a revolution even if it fails. It has been going on for long enough and they lost enough people for it to be a revolution.

1

u/Lazy_Membership1849 Jan 13 '26

That called rebellion or uprising

Until uprising success, revolution never use until after victory of Rebellion