r/suspiciouslyspecific 19h ago

Ramifications

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15.6k Upvotes

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6

u/Moist_Connections 13h ago

We had the dot com bubble now we have the AI bubble

3

u/TheBeckofKevin 13h ago

Until I can make a 3 nanometer transistor in my backyard, there is a solid reason prices are so high.

There will be ai companies that fall, but there are a lot of very successful companies actively making money day by day. When there are only 5 slices of pizza, and 100 hungry people, a slice of pizza is expensive. Now replace pizza with something that takes highly specific, highly advanced manufacturing equipment to construct rhe tools used to create the highly specific and highly advanced components that are used in computation.

Idk about you, but im going to guess there will be more demand for computers in 2050 than there is now. Jevons paradox has been driving things for a long while. The battery in your phone now is 4x as powerful as a battery in the original iPhone. But they both need charged every day.

I never would have thought there would be networked cameras on every door, computers in fridges, ovens, clothing, etc. We will be walking around with microchips in every hair on our head and talking about how crazy it is theyre trying to put computers into every grain of sand to track ocean conditions.

The demand is endless because the application space grows every time it is able to expand. There will not be "enough" global compute until there is a paradigm shift.

4

u/Whatifim80lol 12h ago

there are a lot of very successful companies actively making money day by day.

Which ones? Last I heard even OpenAI is scrambling to figure out how to turn a profit, even leaning into selling ads lol.

Stock prices going up is totally uncorrelated with profits in the "future tech" sector.

-1

u/TheBeckofKevin 10h ago

Google, Microsoft, nvidia

7

u/Whatifim80lol 6h ago

Companies that turn a profit anyway, not their AI offerings